Analisis pengaruh esg disclosure, accrual quality, dan asymmetric information terhadap future stock returns dengan prudence sebagai pemoderasi
P Penelitian ini memiliki tujuan menguji dan menganalisis pengaruh ESG disclosure,accrual quality, dan asymmetric information terhadap future stock returns. Selainitu pengujian dan analisis dilakukan pada model pengaruh ESG disclosure, accrualquality, asymmetric information, environmental disclosure, social disclosure, dangovernance terhadap future stock returns dimoderasi oleh prudence. Pengujianditambahkan lima variabel kontrol untuk memperkuat model, diantaranya risikocrash, leverage, kesempatan bertumbuh, prediksi kesulitan keuangan, dan ukuranperusahaan. Menggunakan metode purposive sampling, dengan unit analisisperusahaan diperoleh 332 perusahaan selama periode 2017-2021. Penelitian inimenggunakan pendekatan kausalitas untuk menguji pengaruh variabel bebas danefek memoderasi terhadap variabel terikatnya.Hasil penelitian ini yang terdiri dari tiga model, menunjukkan bahwa modelutama terdapat pengaruh positif ESG disclosure terhadap future stock returns,accrual quality berpengaruh positif terhadap future stock returns, asymmetricinformation berpengaruh negatif terhadap future stock returns serta prudencememperkuat pengaruh ESG disclosure terhadap future stock returns danmemperlemah pengaruh asymmetric information terhadap future stock returns.Untuk model sensitivitas, ESG disclosure berpengaruh positif terhadap future stockreturns, accrual quality berpengaruh positif terhadap future stock returns, danasymmetric information berpengaruh negatif terhadap future stock returns. Selainitu konsisten dengan model utama, prudence memperlemah pengaruh asymmetricinformation terhadap future stock returns. Sedangkan pengujian model ketiga yakniuji ekspansi yang memecah pengungkapan ESG menjadi masing-masingpengungkapan yaitu lingkungan, sosial, dan tata kelola, pengungkapan lingkungandan tata kelola berpengaruh positif terhadap future stock returns. accrual qualityberpengaruh positif terhadap future stock returns dan informasi asimetrisberpengaruh negatif terhadap future stock returns serta prudence memperkuatpengaruh pengungkapan tata kelola terhadap future stock returns sertamemperlemah informasi asimetris terhadap future stock returns.Penelitian ini memiliki signifikasi pada pengembangan model untukvariabel prudence dalam konteks PSAK 57 atau IAS 37. Keterbatasan penelitianini adalah sampel yang diteliti memiliki jumlah yang terbatas karena sedikitperusahaan di Indonesia yang menerbitkan laporan keberlanjutan, selain peraturanterkait dengan kewajiban penyampaian laporan keberlanjutan baru wajib dilakukanpada tahun 2022.
T This study aims to test and analyze the effect of ESG disclosure, accrual quality,and asymmetric information on future stock returns. In addition, testing andanalysis were carried out on models of the effect of ESG disclosure, accrual quality,asymmetric information, environmental disclosure, social disclosure, andgovernance on future stock returns moderated by prudence. Five control variableswere added to strengthen the model, including crash risk, leverage, growthopportunities, prediction of financial distress, and company size. Using thepurposive sampling method, with company analysis units obtained 332 companiesduring the 2017-2021 period. This study used a causality approach to examine theeffect of the independent variable and the moderating effect on the dependentvariable.The results of this study, which consists of three models, show that the mainmodel has a positive effect of ESG disclosure on future stock returns, accrualquality has a positive effect on future stock returns, asymmetric information has anegative effect on future stock returns and prudence strengthens the effect of ESGdisclosure on future stock returns and weakens the effect of asymmetric informationon future stock returns. For the sensitivity model, ESG disclosure has a positiveeffect on future stock returns, accrual quality has a positive effect on future stockreturns, and asymmetric information has a negative effect on future stock returns.In addition, consistent with the main model, prudence weakens the effect ofasymmetric information on future stock returns. While testing the third model,namely the expansion test that breaks down ESG disclosure into each disclosure,namely environmental, social, and governance, environmental disclosure, andgovernance disclosure have a positive effect on future stock returns. accrual qualityhas a positive effect on future stock returns and asymmetric information has anegative effect on future stock returns and prudence strengthens the effect ofgovernance disclosure on future stock returns and weakens asymmetric informationon future stock returns.This research has significance in the development of models for prudencevariables in the context of PSAK 57 or IAS 37. The limitation of this research is thatthe sample studied has a limited number because few companies in Indonesiapublish sustainability reports, in addition to regulations related to the obligation tosubmit new sustainability reports that are mandatory in 2022.